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A stratotanker aircraft KC-135 Refuse a B-2 Spirit plane with the 509th wing on the Kansas on August 29, 2012.
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Dubai, the United Arab Emirates – Iran looks at the possibility of seeing its most important nuclear installations hit by an American bomb of 30,000 pounds.
On Tuesday, managers of the White House told NBC News that the American president Donald Trump envisages a range of options Including Iran directly strikingAfter the American chief said on several occasions that his administration would not allow Iran to continue his nuclear program or to reach the capacity for the manufacture of bombs.
Trump called for Iran’s “unconditional” unconditional surrender “and wrote in an article on Truth Social that the United States has the capacity to assassinate the supreme Iranian chief of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
“He is an easy target, but he is sure there – we are not going to take him out (kill!), At least not for the moment,” wrote Trump shortly after declaring “total control” on Iranian airspace.
Khamenei responded on Wednesday, threatening the United States with “irreparable damage” If Washington follows a military strike. “The damage they will undergo will be much worse than all that Iran could be confronted. If they enter militarily, they will do difficulty not to recover,” said the Iranian chief, according to NBC News Reporting.
The rapid climbing of conflicts, triggered by the surprise attacks of Israel against the Iranian soldiers and nuclear power on June 13, raised the oil prices and put a region on board. By initially encouraging diplomatic talks with Tehran, Trump’s statements have become increasingly threatening as populations through the Middle East for what comes next.
But destroying Iran’s nuclear program – that Tehran affirms is for civil energy purposes – is not an easy task.
The most advanced and hardened nuclear installation in Iran, the Fordo factory in the northwest of the country, is a fortress.
Built inside a mountain at around 300 feet underground and reinforced by layers of concrete, the plant – which is the most likely target of a potential American strike – is impenetrable by any bomb except the massive GBU -57 (MOP). The United States is the only country in the world to have this weapon “Bunker Buster”, as well as the only country with the plane capable of transporting it and deploying it: the stealth bomber B2 Spirit.
This is partly why Israel was so impatient for participation in the United States in its offensive operations against Iran in addition to its defensives.
But a strike in itself would not be a unique work, according to military experts.
Anadolu agency | Getty images
“So you have two challenges. You will have to drop two of these penetrators on the same site exactly” and you probably need several bombings, according to David des Roches, professor and military scholarship holder at the Southeast Asian Asian for strategic studies at the National Defense University in Washington, DC
“And then you are never precisely safe from the establishment you have damaged,” he added, which means that the staff can be deployed in the field.
“It brings me to believe that for these installations, Israel will finally take control of the air, then land forces on the ground, will make their way in the installation by exploding the doors, then on an appointment of explosive charges, by exfiltrating all the intelligences they can obtain, and it is enough to explode it from the inside,” said rocks at CNBC.
Wider war for America?
Iran’s military capacities have been seriously degraded in recent days by Israeli attacks, which have withdrawn substantial parts from its air defenses, ballistic missile batteries, command and control nodes and dozens of higher commanders.
However, such a strike in the United States could trigger Iran to react by hitting American assets in the region such as embassies and military bases. Trump clearly said that any attack on American staff would attract a fierce American response, which would then lead the most powerful army in the world in a regional conflict.
“The Iranians reported that they were ready to attack the American bases in the region in the event of an American attack on their domestic soil,” said Gregory Brew, main analyst on Iran and energy at risk of Eurasia Group, noting that the American bases in Iraq are particularly vulnerable.
“There are risks in this environment that Iranian reprisals make American victims, kills us by soldiers and potentially obliges President Trump to extend the scope of American action and to command additional strikes on Iran and that, of course, would threaten general climbing and would not only lead us to a single operation, but potentially a general air campaign.”
Despite its enormous scale, the Bunker Buster GPU-57 would not create large-scale damage beyond the installation area, said rocks. But that would have a “deep psychological effect on Iranians”, he added, who has already experienced significant damage and a risk of radioactive contamination caused to the infrastructure of several of their nuclear sites in other parts of the country.
Another critical question remains whether the Trump administration will be limited to targeting nuclear sites, or if it will extend operations beyond – something from the Israeli government has also urged, because it transmits its desire to see the change of regime for its long -standing opponent.
“I think that the conflict will end when Israel is convinced that Iran has lost, for an important period, the ability to make a nuclear weapon and that its defenses are sufficiently weakened so that Israel can go back and effectively disturb any additional effort from Iran to make a nuclear weapon,” said rocks.
If Fordo remains operational, Israel’s attacks would barely slow Iran’s ability to build a bomb, according to nuclear analysts. The decisions of the House of Time in the coming days will therefore prove to be decisive not only for the trajectory of the Iranian nuclear program, but for the survival of the Islamic Republic regime as a whole.
Ali Vaez, Iranian project director of the non-profit crisis group, believes that “Iran can survive and rebuild its nuclear program”, even without a diplomatic avenue for an agreement with the United States
“The United States entering the war will close the door of diplomacy,” Vaez told CNBC. “Trump could be able to destroy Fordow, but he will not be able to bomb the knowledge that Iran has already acquired.”
