There is a growing chance that Trump will move on the Panama Canal and Greenland

Prediction Market traders increased their bets international upheavals could be waiting for us in the president’s wake Donald Trumpthe raid on Venezuela.

Traders on the burgeoning platforms have recently committed funds based on future direction from the White House. The intensified betting comes as Wall Street and Main Street note actions taken by the Trump administration. transition to rapid and forceful international strikes.

“The takeaway for investors is that Trump is increasingly comfortable and confident in the use of military force,” Piper Sandler analyst Andy Laperriere wrote to clients Monday. “The first year of his second term was characterized by boundless energy and risk-taking, and this extended to the use of the military.”

Chances are Trump will do it “to resume” the Panama Canal before the start of 2029 on the Kalshi Prediction Market jumped above 35%, up from less than 30% at the end of last week. Trump said last year that he would not exclude use military force to take control of the sea route linking the Pacific to the Atlantic.

The likelihood that the United States “control” of Greenland rose to 38% as of midday Tuesday, an increase of about eight percentage points since the middle of last week. At one point over the weekend, the odds rose above 46%.

A larger market, based on amount of bets, than Trump “buy at least part” of Danish territory, hovered around a 25% probability, compared to less than 20% observed at the end of last week.

The combined bets on the two questions on Kalshi total nearly $2.5 million.

Greenland’s leaders have repeatedly rejected Trump’s comments that the US is aiming for a power grab. But Trump reiterated his calls to take European possession in a manner interview in The Atlantic published this weekend.

“We absolutely need Greenland,” Trump told the magazine.

Mujtaba Rahman, managing director for Europe at consultancy Eurasia Group, said the Danish government was “full crisis mode” following Trump’s latest comments.

On Polymarket, new markets worth several tens of thousands of dollars each have emerged in recent days around a potential strike against Colombia And invasion of Cuba. Trump has leveled threats in both countries.

Kalshi punters began predicting this weekend that Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader, leave office before next year. The probability of that happening, part of a nearly $1 million market, is now trading around 54%.

Trump authorized bomb attacks against Iran last year, drawing the United States into the conflict between the Islamic Republic and Israel. Last week, Trump threatened to “Strike Hell” out of Iran if it rebuilds its nuclear program.

“Now I’m hearing that Iran is trying to rebuild itself, and if that’s the case, we’ll have to overthrow them. We will overthrow them,” Trump said. “We’re going to put them out of harm’s way. But I hope that doesn’t happen.”